{"id":1002866,"date":"2026-06-19T09:31:54","date_gmt":"2026-06-19T09:31:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/themarketperiodical.com\/marches-de-prediction-sur-les-cryptomonnaies-cotes-en-temps-reel\/"},"modified":"2026-06-19T09:31:54","modified_gmt":"2026-06-19T09:31:54","slug":"marches-de-prediction-sur-les-cryptomonnaies-cotes-en-temps-reel","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/themarketperiodical.com\/fr\/marches-de-prediction-sur-les-cryptomonnaies-cotes-en-temps-reel\/","title":{"rendered":"March\u00e9s de pr\u00e9diction sur les cryptomonnaies \u2014 Cotes en temps r\u00e9el"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Les march\u00e9s de pr\u00e9diction transforment l&#8217;argent des participants en probabilit\u00e9s. Nous r\u00e9cup\u00e9rons les cotes en temps r\u00e9el directement depuis <a href=\"https:\/\/polymarket.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Polymarket<\/a> \u2014 le plus grand march\u00e9 de pr\u00e9diction \u2014 et mettons en avant ce qui bouge actuellement dans les domaines de la cryptomonnaie, de l&#8217;\u00e9conomie, de la politique, de la technologie et du sport : les fluctuations de cotes les plus importantes de la journ\u00e9e, les march\u00e9s sur le point de se r\u00e9soudre, ainsi qu&#8217;un filtre complet que vous pouvez affiner et trier.<\/p>\n<style>\n.tmp-pls{font-family:var(--font-sans,system-ui);margin:1.25rem 0 2rem}\n.tmp-pls *{box-sizing:border-box}\n.tmp-pls-stats{display:grid;grid-template-columns:repeat(4,1fr);gap:.7rem;margin-bottom:1.3rem}\n.tmp-pls-stat{border:1px solid var(--color-border,#eaeaea);border-radius:12px;padding:.85rem 1rem;background:var(--color-card,#fff)}\n.tmp-pls-stat 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march\u00e9s en temps r\u00e9el<\/h2>\n<p>Chaque march\u00e9 ci-dessous est \u00e9valu\u00e9 par de vrais traders qui engagent des capitaux r\u00e9els. <strong>\u00ab Oui \u00bb<\/strong> et <strong>\u00ab Non \u00bb<\/strong> correspondent aux probabilit\u00e9s implicites du march\u00e9, \u00ab <strong>24 h<\/strong> \u00bb indique la variation enregistr\u00e9e au cours de la derni\u00e8re journ\u00e9e, et <strong>\u00ab Volume sur 24 h \u00bb<\/strong> correspond au montant total des transactions. 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td{border:none!important;padding:.15rem 0;text-align:right;display:flex;justify-content:space-between;align-items:center;gap:1rem}\n  .tmp-scr-tbl td.mkt{max-width:none;margin-bottom:.5rem}\n  .tmp-scr-tbl td.mkt::before{content:none}\n  .tmp-scr-tbl td[data-label]::before{content:attr(data-label);font-size:.72rem;font-weight:700;text-transform:uppercase;letter-spacing:.03em;color:var(--color-muted,#6b6b6b)}\n  .tmp-scr-probbar{max-width:none}\n}\n<\/style>\n<div class=\"tmp-scr\" data-scr>\n  <div class=\"tmp-scr-bar\">\n    <div class=\"tmp-scr-tabs\" data-scr-tabs><\/div>\n    <label class=\"tmp-scr-search\">\n      <svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"2\" stroke-linecap=\"round\"><circle cx=\"11\" cy=\"11\" r=\"7\"\/><path d=\"m21 21-4.3-4.3\"\/><\/svg>\n      <input type=\"search\" placeholder=\"Search markets\u2026\" data-scr-q aria-label=\"Search prediction markets\">\n    <\/label>\n  <\/div>\n  <div class=\"tmp-scr-wrap\">\n    <div class=\"tmp-scr-scroll\">\n      <table class=\"tmp-scr-tbl\">\n        <thead><tr>\n          <th class=\"mkt sortable\" data-sort=\"q\">Market<span class=\"ar\"><\/span><\/th>\n          <th class=\"sortable\" data-sort=\"yes\">Yes<span class=\"ar\"><\/span><\/th>\n          <th class=\"sortable\" data-sort=\"no\">No<span class=\"ar\"><\/span><\/th>\n          <th class=\"sortable\" data-sort=\"chg\">24h<span class=\"ar\"><\/span><\/th>\n          <th class=\"sortable\" data-sort=\"vol24\">24h Volume<span class=\"ar\"><\/span><\/th>\n          <th class=\"sortable\" data-sort=\"ends\">Ends<span class=\"ar\"><\/span><\/th>\n        <\/tr><\/thead>\n        <tbody data-scr-body><tr><td colspan=\"6\"><div class=\"tmp-scr-skel\">Loading live prediction markets\u2026<\/div><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody>\n      <\/table>\n    <\/div>\n  <\/div>\n  <div class=\"tmp-scr-foot\">\n    <span class=\"tmp-scr-live\"><i><\/i><span data-scr-count>Fetching live odds\u2026<\/span><\/span>\n    <span>Live odds via <a href=\"https:\/\/polymarket.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Polymarket<\/a> \u00b7 updates every 15&nbsp;min \u00b7 not financial advice<\/span>\n  <\/div>\n<\/div>\n<script>\n(function(){\n  var root=document.querySelector('[data-scr]'); if(!root) return;\n  var body=root.querySelector('[data-scr-body]'), tabsEl=root.querySelector('[data-scr-tabs]'),\n      qInput=root.querySelector('[data-scr-q]'), countEl=root.querySelector('[data-scr-count]'),\n      heads=root.querySelectorAll('th.sortable');\n  var ALL=[], state={cat:'All', q:'', sort:'vol24', dir:-1};\n  var CATORDER=['Crypto','Economy','Politics','Tech','Sports','Culture','Other'];\n\n  function pct(p){return Math.round(p*100);}\n  function money(n){n=+n||0;if(n>=1e9)return '$'+(n\/1e9).toFixed(1)+'B';if(n>=1e6)return '$'+(n\/1e6).toFixed(1)+'M';if(n>=1e3)return '$'+(n\/1e3).toFixed(0)+'K';return '$'+Math.round(n);}\n  function esc(s){var e=document.createElement('div');e.textContent=(s==null?'':s);return e.innerHTML;}\n  function endsShort(s){if(!s)return'\u2014';var d=new Date(s);if(isNaN(d))return'\u2014';return d.toLocaleDateString('en-US',{month:'short',day:'numeric',year:'numeric'});}\n  function endsLeft(s){if(!s)return'';var d=new Date(s);if(isNaN(d))return'';var ms=d-Date.now();if(ms<0)return'ended';var dd=Math.floor(ms\/864e5);if(dd>=1)return dd+'d left';var hh=Math.floor(ms\/36e5);return (hh>0?hh:1)+'h left';}\n\n  function buildTabs(){\n    var counts={All:ALL.length}; ALL.forEach(function(m){counts[m.cat]=(counts[m.cat]||0)+1;});\n    var cats=['All'].concat(CATORDER.filter(function(c){return counts[c];}));\n    tabsEl.innerHTML=cats.map(function(c){\n      return '<button class=\"tmp-scr-tab\" data-cat=\"'+esc(c)+'\" aria-pressed=\"'+(c===state.cat)+'\">'+esc(c)+'<span class=\"n\">'+(counts[c]||0)+'<\/span><\/button>';\n    }).join('');\n    Array.prototype.forEach.call(tabsEl.querySelectorAll('.tmp-scr-tab'),function(b){\n      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class=\"tmp-scr-tag\"><b><\/b>Polymarket<\/span>'+(el?'<span class=\"tmp-scr-ends-sub\">'+esc(el)+'<\/span>':'')+'<\/div>'+\n          '<div class=\"tmp-scr-probbar\" title=\"'+yes+'% Yes\"><b style=\"width:'+Math.max(1,Math.min(100,yes))+'%\"><\/b><\/div>'+\n        '<\/td>'+\n        '<td data-label=\"Yes\"><span class=\"tmp-scr-yes\">'+yes+'%<\/span><\/td>'+\n        '<td data-label=\"No\"><span class=\"tmp-scr-no\">'+no+'%<\/span><\/td>'+\n        '<td data-label=\"24h\"><span class=\"tmp-scr-chg '+cc+'\">'+(cc==='up'?'\u25b2 ':(cc==='dn'?'\u25bc ':''))+ct+'%<\/span><\/td>'+\n        '<td data-label=\"24h Volume\"><span class=\"tmp-scr-vol\">'+money(m.vol24)+'<\/span><\/td>'+\n        '<td data-label=\"Ends\"><span class=\"tmp-scr-ends\">'+esc(endsShort(m.ends))+'<\/span><\/td>'+\n      '<\/tr>';\n    }).join('');\n    body.innerHTML=H;\n    countEl.textContent=list.length+' of '+ALL.length+' live markets';\n  }\n\n  Array.prototype.forEach.call(heads,function(h){\n    h.addEventListener('click',function(){\n      var k=h.getAttribute('data-sort');\n      if(state.sort===k){state.dir=-state.dir;}\n      else{state.sort=k;state.dir=(k==='q'||k==='ends')?1:-1;}\n      render();\n    });\n  });\n  var t;qInput.addEventListener('input',function(){clearTimeout(t);t=setTimeout(function(){state.q=qInput.value;render();},160);});\n\n  fetch('\/wp-json\/tmp\/v1\/pm-screener',{credentials:'same-origin'}).then(function(r){return r.json();}).then(function(d){\n    ALL=(d&&d.markets)||[];\n    if(!ALL.length){body.innerHTML='<tr><td colspan=\"6\"><div class=\"tmp-scr-empty\">Live prediction markets are temporarily unavailable \u2014 please check back shortly.<\/div><\/td><\/tr>';countEl.textContent='';return;}\n    buildTabs();render();\n  }).catch(function(){body.innerHTML='<tr><td colspan=\"6\"><div class=\"tmp-scr-empty\">Live prediction markets are temporarily unavailable.<\/div><\/td><\/tr>';countEl.textContent='';});\n})();\n<\/script>\n\n<h2>Les actifs que nous analysons \u2014 mod\u00e8le vs march\u00e9<\/h2>\n<p>Pour les cryptomonnaies que nous suivons, nous comparons les cotes du march\u00e9 \u00e0 nos propres pr\u00e9visions statistiques, afin que vous puissiez voir en quoi les investisseurs avis\u00e9s et nos mod\u00e8les sont d&#8217;accord \u2014 et en quoi ils divergent. Cliquez sur n&#8217;importe quelle cryptomonnaie pour acc\u00e9der \u00e0 la section compl\u00e8te consacr\u00e9e au march\u00e9 des pr\u00e9dictions : un graphique quotidien des probabilit\u00e9s de \u00ab cl\u00f4ture au-dessus \u00bb, des objectifs de cours \u00e0 plus long terme, ainsi que notre comparaison <em>\u00ab Mod\u00e8le vs March\u00e9<\/em> \u00bb.<\/p>\n<div class=\"tmp-pmhub-grid\" data-pmhub><div class=\"tmp-pmhub-skel\">Loading live prediction markets\u2026<\/div><\/div>\n<script>\n(function(){\n  var g=document.querySelector('[data-pmhub]'); if(!g) return;\n  function pct(p){return Math.round(p*100);}\n  function money(n){n=+n;if(n>=1e9)return '$'+(n\/1e9).toFixed(1)+'B';if(n>=1e6)return '$'+(n\/1e6).toFixed(1)+'M';if(n>=1e3)return '$'+(n\/1e3).toFixed(0)+'K';return '$'+Math.round(n);}\n  function usd(n){n=+n;return n>=1000?'$'+n.toLocaleString('en-US',{maximumFractionDigits:0}):'$'+n;}\n  function esc(s){var e=document.createElement('div');e.textContent=(s==null?'':s);return e.innerHTML;}\n  fetch('\/wp-json\/tmp\/v1\/pm-hub',{credentials:'same-origin'}).then(function(r){return r.json();}).then(function(d){\n    var cs=(d&&d.coins)||[]; if(!cs.length){ g.innerHTML='<p style=\"color:var(--color-muted)\">Live prediction markets are temporarily unavailable \u2014 please check back shortly.<\/p>'; return; }\n    var H=''; cs.forEach(function(c){ var isup=c.up!=null&&c.up>=0.5;\n      H+='<a class=\"tmp-pmhub-card\" href=\"'+esc(c.url||\"#\")+'\">';\n      H+='<div class=\"tmp-pmhub-top\"><span class=\"sym\">'+esc(c.sym)+'<\/span><span class=\"nm\">'+esc(c.name)+'<\/span><\/div>';\n      if(c.up!=null){H+='<div class=\"tmp-pmhub-up\" style=\"color:'+(isup?'var(--color-bull)':'var(--color-bear)')+'\">'+(isup?'\u25b2 ':'\u25bc ')+pct(c.up)+'%<span> '+(isup?'up':'down')+' today<\/span><\/div>';}\n      if(c.target){H+='<div class=\"tmp-pmhub-tg\">Crowd gives <b>'+pct(c.target.prob)+'%<\/b> odds of '+usd(c.target.price)+' this year<\/div>';}\n      H+='<div class=\"tmp-pmhub-meta\">'+money(c.vol)+' traded \u00b7 '+(c.count||0)+' live markets<\/div>';\n      H+='<span class=\"tmp-pmhub-cta\">'+esc(c.sym)+' odds & forecast \u2192<\/span><\/a>';\n    }); g.innerHTML=H;\n  }).catch(function(){ g.innerHTML='<p style=\"color:var(--color-muted)\">Live prediction markets are temporarily unavailable.<\/p>'; });\n})();\n<\/script>\n    \n<h2>Comment interpr\u00e9ter ces cotes<\/h2>\n<p>Chaque chiffre correspond \u00e0 une probabilit\u00e9 implicite du march\u00e9, d\u00e9termin\u00e9e par de v\u00e9ritables traders qui engagent de l&#8217;argent r\u00e9el :<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Oui \/ Non<\/strong> \u2014 la part des mises de chaque c\u00f4t\u00e9 de la question. Un \u00ab Oui \u00bb \u00e0 70 % signifie que le march\u00e9 estime \u00e0 70 % la probabilit\u00e9 que l&#8217;\u00e9v\u00e9nement se produise.<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u00c9volution sur 24 h<\/strong> \u2014 l\u2019ampleur de la variation des cotes au cours de la derni\u00e8re journ\u00e9e ; une probabilit\u00e9 en forte hausse indique une \u00e9volution des anticipations, et notre rubrique \u00ab \u00c9volutions les plus marquantes \u00bb met en avant les fluctuations les plus marqu\u00e9es.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Volume<\/strong> \u2014 le montant des mises sur un march\u00e9 ; un volume plus important est g\u00e9n\u00e9ralement synonyme d\u2019un signal plus fiable.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Tendance sur 7 jours<\/strong> \u2014 le graphique en ligne sur les march\u00e9s mis en avant retrace l\u2019\u00e9volution de la probabilit\u00e9 estim\u00e9e par les participants au cours de la semaine \u00e9coul\u00e9e.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Pour les march\u00e9s \u00e0 issues multiples \u2014 une \u00e9lection, une course au titre, une d\u00e9cision de la Fed \u2014, nous vous indiquons le favori du moment et sa cote ; ouvrez le march\u00e9 sur Polymarket pour d\u00e9couvrir tous les candidats.<\/p>\n<h2>Pourquoi les march\u00e9s pr\u00e9dictifs sont-ils importants ?<\/h2>\n<p>Contrairement aux sondages d&#8217;opinion ou aux pr\u00e9visions des analystes, les cotes des march\u00e9s pr\u00e9dictifs sont \u00e9tay\u00e9es par des capitaux : les participants ne r\u00e9alisent de b\u00e9n\u00e9fices que s&#8217;ils ont raison, de sorte que les prix ont tendance \u00e0 refl\u00e9ter rapidement l&#8217;ensemble des informations disponibles. Elles ne vous pr\u00e9diront pas l&#8217;avenir, mais elles constituent un indicateur transparent et actualis\u00e9 en permanence des attentes collectives du march\u00e9.<\/p>\n<h2>Foire aux questions<\/h2>\n<h3>D&#8217;o\u00f9 proviennent ces cotes ?<\/h3>\n<p>Les march\u00e9s en temps r\u00e9el sur Polymarket, actualis\u00e9s en continu. Nous affichons les probabilit\u00e9s implicites et fournissons un lien vers chaque march\u00e9 afin que vous puissiez les v\u00e9rifier ou y effectuer vous-m\u00eame des transactions.<\/p>\n<h3>Quels sont les march\u00e9s concern\u00e9s ?<\/h3>\n<p>Le tableau de bord pr\u00e9sente les march\u00e9s en temps r\u00e9el les plus actifs sur Polymarket dans les domaines de la cryptomonnaie, de l&#8217;\u00e9conomie, de la politique, de la technologie et du sport, class\u00e9s en fonction de leur volume sur 24 heures. De plus, nous publions des pr\u00e9visions sp\u00e9cifiques comparant nos mod\u00e8les aux tendances du march\u00e9 pour les principales cryptomonnaies que nous couvrons \u2014 \u00e0 savoir, actuellement, le Bitcoin, l&#8217;Ethereum, Solana, le XRP, le Dogecoin et Chainlink.<\/p>\n<h3>\u00c0 quelle fr\u00e9quence est-il mis \u00e0 jour ?<\/h3>\n<p>Les cotes, les volumes et les titres ayant connu les plus fortes variations sur 24 heures sont actualis\u00e9s toutes les 15 minutes ; les graphiques r\u00e9sum\u00e9s pr\u00e9sentent l&#8217;activit\u00e9 des sept derniers jours. Les chiffres proviennent directement de Polymarket : nous ne proc\u00e9dons jamais \u00e0 des estimations ni ne compl\u00e9tons les donn\u00e9es.<\/p>\n<h3>S&#8217;agit-il d&#8217;un conseil financier ?<\/h3>\n<p>Non. Les cotes des march\u00e9s pr\u00e9dictifs constituent des informations, et non des recommandations. Les march\u00e9s des cryptomonnaies et autres sont volatils et pr\u00e9sentent un risque \u00e9lev\u00e9 : veillez toujours \u00e0 effectuer vos propres recherches.<\/p>\n<p><em>Les cotes refl\u00e8tent les transactions en argent r\u00e9el sur Polymarket et sont mises \u00e0 jour en continu. \u00c0 titre d&#8217;information uniquement \u2014 ne constitue pas un conseil financier.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Les march\u00e9s de pr\u00e9diction transforment l&#8217;argent des participants en probabilit\u00e9s. Nous r\u00e9cup\u00e9rons les cotes en temps r\u00e9el directement depuis Polymarket \u2014 le plus grand march\u00e9 de pr\u00e9diction \u2014 et mettons en avant ce qui bouge actuellement dans les domaines de la cryptomonnaie, de l&#8217;\u00e9conomie, de la politique, de la technologie et du sport : les \u2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1000001,"featured_media":0,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-1002866","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/themarketperiodical.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/1002866","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/themarketperiodical.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/themarketperiodical.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/themarketperiodical.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1000001"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/themarketperiodical.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1002866"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/themarketperiodical.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/1002866\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/themarketperiodical.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1002866"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}