{"id":457363,"date":"2026-03-30T14:33:00","date_gmt":"2026-03-30T14:33:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/themarketperiodical.com\/?p=457363"},"modified":"2026-03-30T14:26:55","modified_gmt":"2026-03-30T14:26:55","slug":"le-cours-du-bitcoin-risque-de-baisser-jusqua-50-000-dollars-selon-les-indicateurs-de-la-chaine-de-valeur","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/themarketperiodical.com\/fr\/2026\/03\/30\/le-cours-du-bitcoin-risque-de-baisser-jusqua-50-000-dollars-selon-les-indicateurs-de-la-chaine-de-valeur\/","title":{"rendered":"Le cours du bitcoin risque de baisser jusqu&#8217;\u00e0 50 000 dollars selon les indicateurs de la cha\u00eene de valeur"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Aper\u00e7u des principaux \u00e9l\u00e9ments :<\/h3>\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Le cours du bitcoin est en perte de vitesse, alors que les tentatives de reprise au-dessus de 70 000 dollars ont \u00e9chou\u00e9 \u00e0 plusieurs reprises.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Les analystes pr\u00e9voyaient que le prix du bitcoin pourrait atteindre un plancher entre 46 000 et 54 000 dollars.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Les ETF Spot Bitcoin ont enregistr\u00e9 des sorties hebdomadaires de 296 millions de dollars, mettant fin \u00e0 une s\u00e9rie d&#8217;entr\u00e9es de quatre semaines.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Dans un contexte d&#8217;escalade des tensions entre les \u00c9tats-Unis et l&#8217;Iran, le cours du bitcoin conna\u00eet une certaine volatilit\u00e9, tombant \u00e0 66 000 dollars le 30 mars. Apr\u00e8s le rejet \u00e0 70 000 dollars, le BTC s&#8217;est orient\u00e9 \u00e0 la baisse sans nouveau catalyseur. Les indicateurs en cha\u00eene laissent pr\u00e9sager un risque de baisse plus important pour la crypto-monnaie phare.  <\/p>\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Les risques de baisse du cours du bitcoin augmentent<\/h2>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Selon les donn\u00e9es de Bitfinex, les positions longues en bitcoins ont atteint 79 343 BTC. Selon les indicateurs de la cha\u00eene, il s&#8217;agit du niveau le plus \u00e9lev\u00e9 depuis novembre 2023. Historiquement, l&#8217;augmentation des positions longues sur Bitfinex a souvent servi d&#8217;indicateur contrariant. Elle co\u00efncide souvent avec des sommets de prix locaux ou pr\u00e9c\u00e8de un d\u00e9clin plus large du march\u00e9 des crypto-monnaies.   <\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">La derni\u00e8re augmentation des positions longues \u00e0 effet de levier survient dans un contexte d&#8217;incertitude macro\u00e9conomique croissante. Selon les observateurs du march\u00e9, cela augmente les risques potentiels de baisse du prix du bitcoin si les positions longues deviennent trop nombreuses. <\/p>\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"2560\" height=\"1317\" src=\"https:\/\/themarketperiodical.com\/app\/uploads\/2026\/03\/ef8d07c0148c111dc0dc14878cd1633511269fe3ee922c9649dfe5591ed052a7-scaled.jpg\" alt=\"Positions longues sur le cours du bitcoin | Source : TradingView\" class=\"wp-image-457335\" srcset=\"https:\/\/themarketperiodical.com\/app\/uploads\/2026\/03\/ef8d07c0148c111dc0dc14878cd1633511269fe3ee922c9649dfe5591ed052a7-scaled.jpg 2560w, https:\/\/themarketperiodical.com\/app\/uploads\/2026\/03\/ef8d07c0148c111dc0dc14878cd1633511269fe3ee922c9649dfe5591ed052a7-300x154.jpg 300w, https:\/\/themarketperiodical.com\/app\/uploads\/2026\/03\/ef8d07c0148c111dc0dc14878cd1633511269fe3ee922c9649dfe5591ed052a7-1024x527.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/themarketperiodical.com\/app\/uploads\/2026\/03\/ef8d07c0148c111dc0dc14878cd1633511269fe3ee922c9649dfe5591ed052a7-768x395.jpg 768w, https:\/\/themarketperiodical.com\/app\/uploads\/2026\/03\/ef8d07c0148c111dc0dc14878cd1633511269fe3ee922c9649dfe5591ed052a7-1536x790.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/themarketperiodical.com\/app\/uploads\/2026\/03\/ef8d07c0148c111dc0dc14878cd1633511269fe3ee922c9649dfe5591ed052a7-2048x1054.jpg 2048w, https:\/\/themarketperiodical.com\/app\/uploads\/2026\/03\/ef8d07c0148c111dc0dc14878cd1633511269fe3ee922c9649dfe5591ed052a7-150x77.jpg 150w, https:\/\/themarketperiodical.com\/app\/uploads\/2026\/03\/ef8d07c0148c111dc0dc14878cd1633511269fe3ee922c9649dfe5591ed052a7-696x358.jpg 696w, https:\/\/themarketperiodical.com\/app\/uploads\/2026\/03\/ef8d07c0148c111dc0dc14878cd1633511269fe3ee922c9649dfe5591ed052a7-1068x550.jpg 1068w, https:\/\/themarketperiodical.com\/app\/uploads\/2026\/03\/ef8d07c0148c111dc0dc14878cd1633511269fe3ee922c9649dfe5591ed052a7-1920x988.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2560px) 100vw, 2560px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Positions longues sur le cours du bitcoin | Source : TradingView<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Des experts du march\u00e9 comme Colin Wu <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/WuBlockchain\/status\/2038306897628102759\">ont d\u00e9clar\u00e9<\/a> qu&#8217;un positionnement haussier excessif peut augmenter la probabilit\u00e9 de liquidations de positions longues en BTC. Par cons\u00e9quent, si le niveau de soutien \u00e9choue, le prix du bitcoin peut atteindre des niveaux encore plus bas. <\/p>\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Le mod\u00e8le de prix du bitcoin sugg\u00e8re un plancher sous les 50 000 $.<\/h2>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Willy Woo, analyste de la cha\u00eene de valeur, a sugg\u00e9r\u00e9 que le prix du bitcoin pourrait atteindre un niveau plancher entre 46 000 et 54 000 dollars. Cette analyse est bas\u00e9e sur ses mod\u00e8les traditionnels d&#8217;\u00e9valuation de la cha\u00eene. <\/p>\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"2560\" height=\"2061\" src=\"https:\/\/themarketperiodical.com\/app\/uploads\/2026\/03\/ca4c9474f857c0a47d990fc594ddbc7be2b9d2c494f52e45d778fae50b8377ff-scaled.jpg\" alt=\"Mod&#xE8;les de prix du bitcoin | Source : Willy Woo\" class=\"wp-image-457333\" srcset=\"https:\/\/themarketperiodical.com\/app\/uploads\/2026\/03\/ca4c9474f857c0a47d990fc594ddbc7be2b9d2c494f52e45d778fae50b8377ff-scaled.jpg 2560w, https:\/\/themarketperiodical.com\/app\/uploads\/2026\/03\/ca4c9474f857c0a47d990fc594ddbc7be2b9d2c494f52e45d778fae50b8377ff-300x241.jpg 300w, https:\/\/themarketperiodical.com\/app\/uploads\/2026\/03\/ca4c9474f857c0a47d990fc594ddbc7be2b9d2c494f52e45d778fae50b8377ff-1024x824.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/themarketperiodical.com\/app\/uploads\/2026\/03\/ca4c9474f857c0a47d990fc594ddbc7be2b9d2c494f52e45d778fae50b8377ff-768x618.jpg 768w, https:\/\/themarketperiodical.com\/app\/uploads\/2026\/03\/ca4c9474f857c0a47d990fc594ddbc7be2b9d2c494f52e45d778fae50b8377ff-1536x1236.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/themarketperiodical.com\/app\/uploads\/2026\/03\/ca4c9474f857c0a47d990fc594ddbc7be2b9d2c494f52e45d778fae50b8377ff-2048x1648.jpg 2048w, https:\/\/themarketperiodical.com\/app\/uploads\/2026\/03\/ca4c9474f857c0a47d990fc594ddbc7be2b9d2c494f52e45d778fae50b8377ff-150x121.jpg 150w, https:\/\/themarketperiodical.com\/app\/uploads\/2026\/03\/ca4c9474f857c0a47d990fc594ddbc7be2b9d2c494f52e45d778fae50b8377ff-696x560.jpg 696w, https:\/\/themarketperiodical.com\/app\/uploads\/2026\/03\/ca4c9474f857c0a47d990fc594ddbc7be2b9d2c494f52e45d778fae50b8377ff-1068x860.jpg 1068w, https:\/\/themarketperiodical.com\/app\/uploads\/2026\/03\/ca4c9474f857c0a47d990fc594ddbc7be2b9d2c494f52e45d778fae50b8377ff-1920x1545.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2560px) 100vw, 2560px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Mod\u00e8les de prix du bitcoin | Source : Willy Woo<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">M. Woo a fait remarquer que les indicateurs plus anciens de la cha\u00eene, y compris les flux de capitaux, montrent que les capitaux stock\u00e9s en bitcoins diminuent depuis le mois de novembre. Cela montre clairement les signes d&#8217;un affaiblissement de la dynamique du march\u00e9. <\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">L&#8217;analyste a mis en \u00e9vidence la &#8220;ligne orange&#8221; de son mod\u00e8le, qui suit les tendances d&#8217;accumulation du capital et sugg\u00e8re un risque de baisse suppl\u00e9mentaire. Il a \u00e9galement mis en \u00e9vidence le mod\u00e8le plancher du CVDD, qui se situe actuellement autour de 45 500 dollars et augmente progressivement au fil du temps. <\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Selon Woo, ce mod\u00e8le agit historiquement comme un niveau de soutien \u00e0 long terme. Il indique une fourchette basse potentielle si la pression \u00e0 la vente se poursuit. <\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">L&#8217;analyste de cryptomonnaies Ardi a averti que le bitcoin pourrait montrer des signes d&#8217;affaiblissement de la structure du march\u00e9 apr\u00e8s avoir \u00e9chou\u00e9 \u00e0 maintenir une reprise. Selon <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/ArdiNSC\/status\/2037827040263467394\">Ardi<\/a>, le bitcoin a pass\u00e9 plusieurs semaines \u00e0 se stabiliser dans une fourchette. Cela permet aux acteurs du march\u00e9 de construire un argumentaire haussier en vue d&#8217;une rupture potentielle.  <\/p>\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"2560\" height=\"1502\" src=\"https:\/\/themarketperiodical.com\/app\/uploads\/2026\/03\/cb8edbcd9ca30a4b011a4608be4d5b200080ad28876c0c4df4963bffd4a20a82-scaled.jpg\" alt=\"Le prix du BTC teste un support crucial | Source : Ardi\" class=\"wp-image-457334\" srcset=\"https:\/\/themarketperiodical.com\/app\/uploads\/2026\/03\/cb8edbcd9ca30a4b011a4608be4d5b200080ad28876c0c4df4963bffd4a20a82-scaled.jpg 2560w, https:\/\/themarketperiodical.com\/app\/uploads\/2026\/03\/cb8edbcd9ca30a4b011a4608be4d5b200080ad28876c0c4df4963bffd4a20a82-300x176.jpg 300w, https:\/\/themarketperiodical.com\/app\/uploads\/2026\/03\/cb8edbcd9ca30a4b011a4608be4d5b200080ad28876c0c4df4963bffd4a20a82-1024x601.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/themarketperiodical.com\/app\/uploads\/2026\/03\/cb8edbcd9ca30a4b011a4608be4d5b200080ad28876c0c4df4963bffd4a20a82-768x451.jpg 768w, https:\/\/themarketperiodical.com\/app\/uploads\/2026\/03\/cb8edbcd9ca30a4b011a4608be4d5b200080ad28876c0c4df4963bffd4a20a82-1536x901.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/themarketperiodical.com\/app\/uploads\/2026\/03\/cb8edbcd9ca30a4b011a4608be4d5b200080ad28876c0c4df4963bffd4a20a82-2048x1202.jpg 2048w, https:\/\/themarketperiodical.com\/app\/uploads\/2026\/03\/cb8edbcd9ca30a4b011a4608be4d5b200080ad28876c0c4df4963bffd4a20a82-150x88.jpg 150w, https:\/\/themarketperiodical.com\/app\/uploads\/2026\/03\/cb8edbcd9ca30a4b011a4608be4d5b200080ad28876c0c4df4963bffd4a20a82-696x408.jpg 696w, https:\/\/themarketperiodical.com\/app\/uploads\/2026\/03\/cb8edbcd9ca30a4b011a4608be4d5b200080ad28876c0c4df4963bffd4a20a82-1068x627.jpg 1068w, https:\/\/themarketperiodical.com\/app\/uploads\/2026\/03\/cb8edbcd9ca30a4b011a4608be4d5b200080ad28876c0c4df4963bffd4a20a82-1920x1127.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2560px) 100vw, 2560px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Le prix du BTC teste un support crucial | Source : Ardi<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Cependant, l&#8217;analyste a not\u00e9 que le prix n&#8217;a pas r\u00e9ussi \u00e0 regagner des niveaux plus \u00e9lev\u00e9s avec une forte dynamique. Au lieu de cela, le r\u00e9cent rebond a perdu de son \u00e9lan et s&#8217;est invers\u00e9, redonnant le contr\u00f4le aux vendeurs. M. Ardi a ajout\u00e9 que des \u00e9checs r\u00e9p\u00e9t\u00e9s \u00e0 franchir des niveaux plus \u00e9lev\u00e9s sont g\u00e9n\u00e9ralement le signe d&#8217;une structure de march\u00e9 faible. Cela augmente les chances d&#8217;une nouvelle correction du prix du bitcoin.   <\/p>\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"2560\" height=\"803\" src=\"https:\/\/themarketperiodical.com\/app\/uploads\/2026\/03\/7bb53442b238c21883de6d3e3d5615c55c80816ede8a89f7f4e6786289c8fbc2-scaled.jpg\" alt=\"Sorties de fonds des ETF Bitcoin | Source : SoSoValue\" class=\"wp-image-457332\" srcset=\"https:\/\/themarketperiodical.com\/app\/uploads\/2026\/03\/7bb53442b238c21883de6d3e3d5615c55c80816ede8a89f7f4e6786289c8fbc2-scaled.jpg 2560w, https:\/\/themarketperiodical.com\/app\/uploads\/2026\/03\/7bb53442b238c21883de6d3e3d5615c55c80816ede8a89f7f4e6786289c8fbc2-300x94.jpg 300w, https:\/\/themarketperiodical.com\/app\/uploads\/2026\/03\/7bb53442b238c21883de6d3e3d5615c55c80816ede8a89f7f4e6786289c8fbc2-1024x321.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/themarketperiodical.com\/app\/uploads\/2026\/03\/7bb53442b238c21883de6d3e3d5615c55c80816ede8a89f7f4e6786289c8fbc2-768x241.jpg 768w, https:\/\/themarketperiodical.com\/app\/uploads\/2026\/03\/7bb53442b238c21883de6d3e3d5615c55c80816ede8a89f7f4e6786289c8fbc2-1536x482.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/themarketperiodical.com\/app\/uploads\/2026\/03\/7bb53442b238c21883de6d3e3d5615c55c80816ede8a89f7f4e6786289c8fbc2-2048x642.jpg 2048w, https:\/\/themarketperiodical.com\/app\/uploads\/2026\/03\/7bb53442b238c21883de6d3e3d5615c55c80816ede8a89f7f4e6786289c8fbc2-150x47.jpg 150w, https:\/\/themarketperiodical.com\/app\/uploads\/2026\/03\/7bb53442b238c21883de6d3e3d5615c55c80816ede8a89f7f4e6786289c8fbc2-696x218.jpg 696w, https:\/\/themarketperiodical.com\/app\/uploads\/2026\/03\/7bb53442b238c21883de6d3e3d5615c55c80816ede8a89f7f4e6786289c8fbc2-1068x335.jpg 1068w, https:\/\/themarketperiodical.com\/app\/uploads\/2026\/03\/7bb53442b238c21883de6d3e3d5615c55c80816ede8a89f7f4e6786289c8fbc2-1920x602.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2560px) 100vw, 2560px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Sorties de fonds des ETF Bitcoin | Source : SoSoValue<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Au cours de la semaine derni\u00e8re, les ETF Bitcoin au comptant ont connu d&#8217;importantes sorties de fonds, pour un total de 296 millions de dollars, selon SoSoValue. Cela marque la fin de quatre semaines d&#8217;afflux dans le produit d&#8217;investissement Bitcoin. Dans un contexte de tensions g\u00e9opolitiques et de hausse des prix du brut, les institutions semblent retirer leurs fonds du march\u00e9.  <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Aper\u00e7u des principaux \u00e9l\u00e9ments : Dans un contexte d&#8217;escalade des tensions entre les \u00c9tats-Unis et l&#8217;Iran, le cours du bitcoin conna\u00eet une certaine volatilit\u00e9, tombant \u00e0 66 000 dollars le 30 mars. Apr\u00e8s le rejet \u00e0 70 000 dollars, le BTC s&#8217;est orient\u00e9 \u00e0 la baisse sans nouveau catalyseur. Les indicateurs en cha\u00eene laissent pr\u00e9sager \u2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":35,"featured_media":457341,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"tmp_editor_id":0,"tmp_editor_role":"Edited by","footnotes":""},"categories":[6918,3162,3218,3321,3178,77,3240,78],"tags":[3626,5101,3694,3894],"class_list":["post-457363","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-actualites-bitcoin","category-analyse","category-analyse-des-crypto-monnaies","category-bitcoin-fr-2","category-bitcoin-fr","category-nouvelles","category-nouvelles-sur-les-cryptomonnaies-fr","category-nouvelles-sur-les-cryptomonnaies","tag-bitcoin-btc-fr","tag-bitcoin-crypto-fr","tag-btc-crypto-fr","tag-prediction-du-prix-du-btc"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/themarketperiodical.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/457363","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/themarketperiodical.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/themarketperiodical.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/themarketperiodical.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/35"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/themarketperiodical.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=457363"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/themarketperiodical.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/457363\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":457369,"href":"https:\/\/themarketperiodical.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/457363\/revisions\/457369"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/themarketperiodical.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/457341"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/themarketperiodical.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=457363"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/themarketperiodical.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=457363"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/themarketperiodical.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=457363"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}