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Bitcoin Price Prediction: Analysts Call $115,000 Surge a ‘Liquidity Trap’

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Bitcoin Price Prediction: Analysts Call $115,000 Surge a ‘Liquidity Trap’

Bitcoin price prediction to $120,000 is in the spotlight as the coin skyrocketed above $115,000 this week. However, analysts say the jump was a liquidity grab and not driven by new demand.

Notably, market indicators show improving sentiment, while traders watch support near $112,000.

According to this development, market participants are wondering whether Bitcoin can close October with gains as resistance builds at $118,500.

Analysts Question Bitcoin Break Above $115,000

Market data shows that the price of Bitcoin climbed over $115,000, then slowed.

Analyst Ted Pillows said the rise did not come with stronger buying from large firms or new retail activity.

He said liquidity was taken from traders with high leverage. In his view, the jump cleared weak positions before the next move.

Bitcoin Liquidity Distribution | Source: Ted Pillows

Reacting to the update, a trader named Chucksmarley said it looked like a fake breakout to reset leverage.

Pillows agreed, noting this kind of price shift can clear the path for a real push later.

Another market participant, Kryzlon, said it looked like a trap for those entering long trades too late. Pillows called it a common setup in this stage of the market.

Notably, this view suggests the recent high was not a new trend. It may have been a short-term move to remove risk in the market.

After the shakeout, Bitcoin may gain support and establish a stronger foundation. The Bitcoin price remains above both its short-term and long-term moving averages.

Essentially, these levels indicate that the broader market trend remains upward.

Meanwhile, on charts, support has been clear near $112,000. Buyers stepped in each time the price pulled back to that area.

The next test for Bitcoin price now sits at $118,500. If Bitcoin closes above that point, the price could potentially move back toward $126,000.

Notably, the market remains steady at the moment, with neither strong fear nor clear excitement.

Many traders believe this balance could lead to a larger move when the next wave of demand arrives.

Sentiment Shifts Toward Bulls

Market data from analyst Axel Adler Jr shows a change in mood. The Bull-Bear Structure Index moved above zero for the first time since October 12.

Essentially, this index blends Bitcoin price action with blockchain details. It tracks whether buyers or sellers have more control. A move above zero signals rising strength for the bullish side.

Bitcoin Bull-Bear Structure Index | Source: Axel Adler

Adler also said the Unified Sentiment Index is no longer in a negative zone. That measure uses CoinGecko votes and the Fear and Greed Index.

Likewise, he said both price behavior and community views now point in the same direction. This shift could align with the notion that the market needed a reset before moving higher again.

These indices do not guarantee gains, as they indicate a more supportive environment for Bitcoin.

When sentiment and market structure move together, traders often feel more confident about the near future.

Bitcoin Price Prediction: October Performance

The question for traders is whether the price of Bitcoin can end October higher. The last five years show different yearly gains.

In 2021, the price increased by 40%, and in 2023, it jumped by 28.5%. Interestingly, Gains reached 11.2% in 2024.

These numbers indicate that the pace of Bitcoin changes each year. While some years bring strong growth, others deliver slower progress.

The current year has not shown a major rise yet. Traders wonder if a late push could lift the price before November.

Still, technical levels hold steady as supply in profit is rising again. That often supports upward pressure.

A break above the $118,500 zone could bring stronger buying interest. If the Bitcoin price prediction fails at that level, a return to support may follow.

Bitcoin enters the final days of October in a balanced position. Market participants are watching to see whether the next move points toward new highs or more waiting.

Godfrey Benjamin
Written by
Cryptocurrency Journalist

Godfrey Benjamin is an experienced crypto journalist whose main goal is to educate everyone around him about the prospects of Web 3.0. His love for crypto was birthed when, as a former banker, he discovered the obvious advantages of decentralized money over traditional payments. With his vast experience covering various aspects of Web3, Godfrey's articles has been featured on Cryptonews and Coingape, among others.

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About this article

PublishedOctober 28, 2025 10:48 pm
Last updatedOctober 28, 2025 6:27 pm
Written byGodfrey Benjamin, Cryptocurrency Journalist
ReviewedFact-checked by the TMP editorial desk

This report follows our Editorial Policy, Fact-Checking Standards and Code of Ethics. Found an inaccuracy? See Corrections.

Disclaimer. Informational only, not financial advice. Crypto, forex and stocks are volatile, high-risk assets — always do your own research and consult a qualified adviser.

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