- Toncoin’s Open Interest Delta spikes hint at a potential rebound, aligning with historical price surge patterns.
- Whale selloffs and 890K TON coins offloaded post-Durov’s arrest add pressure but show resilience.
- Accumulation rises as TON sees 357% exchange netflow surge, signaling renewed confidence in the token.
Data from CryptoQuant shows that recently Toncoin (TON) weekly Open Interest Delta has peaked up recently. According to historical records, these spikes predate sharp price surges.
Analysts are watching for a repeat of this pattern to indicate a price rebound for TON.

Over the past 24 hours, TON traded around the $4.83 mark. While the token has recently sold off, market participants are very focused on liquidity and positioning flows for short term opportunities as the token tests its current range.
Whale Selloff and Market Turbulence
Data from Santiment on-chain indicates that around 890,000 TON coins were sold by investors who held balances of 10 to 10,000 coins, since the arrest of Telegram founder Pavel Durov in August 2024.

Before the arrest, the token was valued at $6.80, though it has since declined by over 30%; its market cap has dropped by 29%.
The legal arrest confronting Telegram due to its alleged involvement with illegal matters became a turning point for the TON system.
Durov obtained freedom following his arrest yet the French authorities still investigate him for charges.
Toncoin sustained a 128% annual growth despite widespread selling activities during its implementation despite ongoing legal battles and market turbulent times.
Rising Accumulation and Exchange Netflows
Data obtained from on-chain analysis reveals that TON holders have been steadily adding tokens since early November 2024.
Accumulation/distribution data demonstrates continuous token acquisitions therefore indicating some investors view the market decline as an appropriate time to acquire.
Data from IntoTheBlock demonstrates that TON token withdrawal numbers at exchanges have surged by 357% since early November 2024.
Negative netflows recorded by traders on exchanges draw positive analysis since this data indicates that market participants are purchasing TON outside regular platforms for extended ownership.
Despite its recent difficulties investors demonstrate rising faith in the digital asset which may signal their improved confidence.
DeFi Challenges and the Future of TON
Inal Kardan from TON Ventures pointed out that Toncoin‘s DeFi sector experiences difficulties in expanding its customer base.
Despite investing heavily in Toncoin Foundation infrastructure, DeFi projects using the network have faced difficulties establishing popularity.
Kardan predicts memecoins will experience increasing demand in the upcoming period because users are beginning to focus on new projects in the TON ecosystem.
Toncoin’s success depends on general market fluctuation along with advancements within its network infrastructure.
The upcoming weeks may see Toncoin rise because increasing accumulation rates alongside rising Open Interest deltas are signaling positive market trends within the $4-$5 price range.
Traders should track both market liquidity movement and investor positions to discover potential points of breakouts.
Disclaimer
This article is for informational purposes only and provides no financial, investment, or other advice. The author or any people mentioned in this article are not responsible for any financial loss that may occur from investing in or trading. Please do your research before making any financial decisions.




