Ethereum Price May Hit $3,700 If Key On-Chain Signal Confirms

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Key Insights:

  • Ethereum price hits a historic accumulation zone as long-term indicators improve.
  • Whale accumulation picks up, including a $3.25M buy following months of dormancy.
  • Analysts point to multi-year consolidation with a possible explosive breakout.

Ethereum price is getting some fresh attention after a series of major events on-chain. Fresh whale movements, technical resets, and long-term accumulation signals have added weight to a possible shift in momentum.

Several analysts are now pointing to conditions that could support a meaningful recovery.

Strong Technical Reset Boosts Outlook for Ethereum Price

The latest on-chain data revealed ETH price is trading at a critical support. These levels have been significant areas of accumulation in the past.

The recent dip brought the market to an area where the long-term players are more likely to move back in. Analysts believe that this backdrop makes a renewed upside push more likely.

Ali, a market analyst, pointed to Ethereum’s MVRV Z-Score, which fell towards the 0.29 area. According to his research, every major accumulation event since 2016 occurred with the MVRV Z-Score trading below zero. The current reading is close to those same levels.

ETH MVRV Z-Score | Source: Ali, X
ETH MVRV Z-Score | Source: Ali, X

Ali noted that past lows had triggered multi‑month rallies. He argued that current conditions in the Ethereum price look similar to earlier cycle resets.

Whale Activity Indicates New Confidence

Large holders have been unusually active during this downturn. OnchainLens showed some notable whale accumulation after months of inactivity.

One whale stands out in particular. They spent $3.25 million in DAI to buy 1,110 ETH at approximately $2,933. The same wallet has previously sold 15,575 ETH for $66.52 million at $4,270. This indicates strategic repositioning.

Source: OnchainLens, X

CryptoPatel also recorded activity from a very early Ethereum ICO participant. The wallet initially spent 254,908 ETH for about $79,000 during the initial token sale. This week, the holder sold 19,999 ETH for $58.14 million, a return of 735x on a small fraction of the stack.

Source: CryptoPatel, X
Source: CryptoPatel, X

The wallet still contains over 3000 ETH. CryptoPatel called it an example of long-term conviction and disciplined strategy.

Technical Traders Point Out Breakout Structure for Ethereum Price

Furthermore, CryptoWzrd commented on the latest daily close of the Ethereum price. He described the structure as “indecisive but constructive.” The ETHBTC pair closed firmly and rebounded back to a strong lower high trendline.

CryptoWzrd suggested that one more good candle above this region could cause an impulsive move on the 0.0400 BTC level. That move might thrust the USD-pair to the $3,700 resistance zone.

ETHUSDT 1D Chart | Source: CryptoWZRD, X
ETHUSDT 1D Chart | Source: CryptoWZRD, X

The intraday chart continues to be choppy. However, CryptoWzrd found support near $2,890 as a critical threshold. Holding above this level keeps the market within constructive territory.

A break of the ETH price above $3,035 could create a new upside phase. On the other hand, a break below $2,890 could lead to a prolonged extension of the consolidation.

Macro Structure Indicates a Larger Move Ahead

Analyst Anup Dhungana identified a larger technical trend over a number of years. He noted that Ethereum has been trading in a broad consolidation range since 2021.

Price rejected a major macro trendline again and again, and formed a massive accumulation base below the rejecting line. Dhungana believes this zone to be a multi-year coiling phase with high breakout potential.

Dhungana added that a breakout above the cap of the consolidation could result in an explosive move. He set a possible long‑term target between $8500 and $9000. This projection highlights bullish momentum in the Ethereum price.

He stressed that the pattern has matured for years. Also, the reaction of the market near the upper boundary is still an essential indicator. Many traders are now looking for confirmation of strength around the $3,700 and $4,250 resistance levels.

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